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Sillyness

Thinking (and Betting) about the Future

I can’t remember where I first saw this, but I thought it was worth linking to. LongBets.org is a public arena for placing long-term bets, A.K.A. - “accountable predictions”. Most of the current 8 recorded bets are by big name tech CEO’s, VP’s, etc…. With a minimum bet of $1,000 USD, I’m not surprised.

This idea is really intriguing to me. My wife would shoot me if I were to put down our money on a bet of 50 bucks, much less a thousand. However, the money and the risk attracts attention, and that attention stirs debate and thinking about the future. A good thing in my opinion. My apologies to the families of compulsive gamblers that might read this.

Originally published on Thursday March 28, 2002 at 12:20 am

[1] Comment

After further reading on the site, I've noticed that it isn't "real" bets since both parties put up half the money, and pick a charity that will be the beneficiary if they win. More of a philanthropic nature than I previously thought; which is nice, actually.

Aaron said this 15 years, 4 months ago §

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